Liverpool vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 4
BRI
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 0
DER
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
LIV
0 - 1
MUD
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 0
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 2
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
BOL
1 - 0
MID
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
4 - 2
MID
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
MID
0 - 1
SHE
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |