Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 0
WAT
66%
22%
13%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 2
LIV
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 1
CHL
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
WBA
0 - 5
LIV
22%
27%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
46%
26%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 0
EXE
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
0 - 0
TOT
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
MUD
23%
25%
52%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
18%
25%
57%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |