Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
WOL
1 - 0
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1973 |
NOR
1 - 1
LIV
23%
31%
46%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
33%
31%
36%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1973 |
LIV
1 - 0
WHU
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
QPR
2 - 2
LIV
35%
30%
35%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1973 |
MUD
2 - 3
COV
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
MUD
0 - 0
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
MUD
0 - 0
NOR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1973 |
NEW
3 - 2
MUD
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
TOT
2 - 1
MUD
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |