Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1969 |
EVE
0 - 3
LIV
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 1
ARS
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
3 - 2
VST
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
62%
22%
15%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
WHU
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1969 |
MUD
0 - 2
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1969 |
MAC
2 - 1
MUD
61%
21%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 1
MUD
35%
26%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
MUD
3 - 1
TOT
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |