Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
PNE
3 - 2
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
STO
3 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
DER
1 - 3
MUD
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
OPA
2 - 2
MUD
47%
24%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
MID
1 - 4
MUD
45%
23%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |