Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
STO
0 - 2
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1947 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
LIV
3 - 1
PNE
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1947 |
WOL
1 - 2
LIV
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
MUD
6 - 2
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1947 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1947 |
MUD
6 - 2
SHE
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
MUD
3 - 0
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |