Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 2
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
LEE
2 - 2
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
LEI
2 - 0
LIV
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
LIV
4 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
BCF
2 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 3
WHU
45%
23%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
LEE
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |