Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
SHE
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
BBU
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BCF
0 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
3 - 0
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1926 |
MUD
3 - 2
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
1 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
SHE
2 - 0
MUD
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
5 - 1
SUN
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1926 |
BIR
2 - 1
MUD
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |