Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
BRA
0 - 2
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 1
BBU
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 4
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
LIV
1 - 1
NTT
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
MID
5 - 0
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
MUD
0 - 2
PNE
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
MUD
4 - 3
NOT
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |