Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CRY
1 - 2
LIV
10%
17%
73%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
5 - 0
WAT
83%
13%
5%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCP
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 3
MAC
19%
22%
60%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
STO
0 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
73%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 3
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |