Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
18%
21%
61%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
22%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
AUG
0 - 0
LIV
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 6
LIV
24%
25%
50%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 1
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
18%
21%
61%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
DYN
1 - 3
MAC
21%
23%
57%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHL
5 - 1
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
TOT
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 3
LEI
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | -1 |