Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
FLA
3 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1981 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
NTT
0 - 2
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1981 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
45%
28%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
LIV
0 - 1
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
MAC
2 - 3
SUN
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
COV
0 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
IPS
2 - 0
MAC
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |