Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
EVE
3 - 1
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1966 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
LIV
3 - 2
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1966 |
NTT
1 - 1
LIV
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1966 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
MAC
0 - 0
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1966 |
CHA
2 - 3
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |