Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEE
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
BUR
2 - 1
LIV
46%
26%
27%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
LIV
5 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
LIV
5 - 0
MUD
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
BBU
3 - 3
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 1
SUN
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 2
MAC
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1925 |
WBA
4 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 4
EVE
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |