Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
49%
27%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
LIV
2 - 4
ASV
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
38%
31%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
MID
1 - 1
LIV
44%
29%
27%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
MAC
4 - 2
NTT
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
BCF
0 - 2
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 1
WHU
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1924 |
CHL
3 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |