Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
WHU
1 - 0
LIV
40%
30%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
LIV
3 - 1
CHL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
LIV
2 - 0
WHU
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
NEW
2 - 1
LIV
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
MAC
3 - 3
WBA
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |