Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
2 - 2
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1920 |
LIV
1 - 0
SHW
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
HUR
2 - 1
LIV
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
PNE
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
MAC
4 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1920 |
MID
0 - 2
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |