Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
NTT
2 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 2
BBU
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 0
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
BRA
1 - 3
LIV
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
TOT
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 2
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1910 |
TOT
1 - 1
MAC
55%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |