Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
MID
1 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 1
PNE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
53%
23%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
SHW
3 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
MAC
0 - 0
MID
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
PNE
3 - 0
MAC
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
MAC
5 - 1
BRI
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |