Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1908 |
SHW
1 - 2
LIV
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
LIV
3 - 1
BRI
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
LIV
4 - 1
ARS
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
0 - 2
SHE
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
3 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
BCF
0 - 0
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1908 |
FUL
3 - 1
MAC
33%
23%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 1
FUL
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |