Liverpool vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
1 - 0
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
3 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
ASV
2 - 2
LIV
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
LIV
4 - 3
LEI
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1987 |
SOU
0 - 0
LIV
37%
29%
34%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 1
WHU
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 1
LUT
36%
28%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 2
LUT
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1987 |
QPR
2 - 1
LUT
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |