Champions League 1/16
Global 5-0
Liverpool vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
LIV
0 - 2
SHW
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
MUD
1 - 1
LIV
44%
27%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
LPO
0 - 1
LIV
24%
29%
47%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
LIV
1 - 1
SUN
77%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
MOT
1 - 1
LPO
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
LPO
0 - 0
GKS
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
LPO
0 - 1
LIV
24%
29%
47%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
WLO
0 - 0
LPO
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
LPO
1 - 1
GDA
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |