Champions League Last 16
Global 5-1
Liverpool vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
LIV
3 - 1
BHA
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
STO
1 - 1
LIV
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
HJK
1 - 0
LIV
11%
22%
68%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
LIV
0 - 0
MUD
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
WHU
3 - 1
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
HJK
1 - 0
LIV
11%
22%
68%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
HJK
3 - 0
OMO
50%
21%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
OMO
2 - 0
HJK
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
HJK
95%
4%
1%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
HJK
1 - 8
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |