Liverpool vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BBU
0 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 2
LIV
33%
26%
41%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
DVS
0 - 1
LIV
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 2
BIR
81%
14%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
LYO
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 3
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UDI
0 - 1
FIO
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |