Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 5-0
Liverpool vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIV
4 - 1
WHU
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 5
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
LIV
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 2
TOT
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
61%
20%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 5
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
5 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 5
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |