Liverpool vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIV
29%
28%
43%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIV
2 - 0
FUL
71%
19%
11%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
LIV
8 - 0
BJK
69%
20%
11%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BBU
0 - 0
LIV
40%
27%
34%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
70%
19%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
EST
2 - 2
FCP
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
FCP
2 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2007 |
FCP
3 - 0
LEX
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |