EFL Cup Final
Global 1-0
Liverpool vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
75%
15%
9%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 4
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1984 |
SOU
2 - 0
LIV
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
LIV
3 - 1
TOT
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
LIV
1 - 0
SLB
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
75%
15%
9%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 1
LEI
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 0
IPS
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1984 |
NTT
1 - 0
EVE
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
NOT
1 - 2
EVE
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |