Liverpool vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
CHA
1 - 3
LIV
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
MID
3 - 0
LIV
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
4 - 1
PNE
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1939 |
OPA
0 - 1
EVE
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
EVE
3 - 2
HUR
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
EVE
2 - 0
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
DER
2 - 1
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |