Champions League 1/16
Global 5-1
Liverpool vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
5 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
SWA
0 - 3
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIV
10%
22%
69%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
3 - 3
LUT
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
4 - 3
NTT
69%
20%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIV
10%
22%
69%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
TOT
1 - 0
DUN
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
DUN
1 - 1
TOT
25%
25%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
DUN
4 - 0
FRA
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
FRA
2 - 1
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |