Liverpool vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1980 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
79%
15%
6%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
TOT
2 - 0
LIV
21%
27%
51%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
LIV
1 - 0
BHA
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
LIV
3 - 0
LEE
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1980 |
COV
2 - 1
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
DER
2 - 0
LEE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
IPS
1 - 1
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
DER
3 - 3
BRI
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 2
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |