Liverpool vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
IPS
1 - 1
LIV
46%
28%
26%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
LIV
2 - 0
COV
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIV
38%
29%
33%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
LIV
3 - 0
WBA
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1977 |
LIV
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
DER
2 - 2
LEE
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
DER
0 - 1
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
NTT
3 - 0
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
DER
0 - 0
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |