Liverpool vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1973 |
WHU
0 - 1
LIV
38%
30%
33%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 0
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1972 |
SHE
0 - 3
LIV
33%
31%
36%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
LIV
2 - 0
COV
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
IPS
1 - 1
LIV
33%
32%
36%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1973 |
DER
1 - 0
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1972 |
DER
3 - 1
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
STO
4 - 0
DER
36%
29%
35%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |