Liverpool vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
ASV
2 - 0
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 2
SUN
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
DER
1 - 1
BPO
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
DER
1 - 3
MAC
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
CHL
0 - 1
DER
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
DER
4 - 2
STO
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |