Liverpool vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
BPO
1 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 1
ARS
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
DER
1 - 0
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
WOL
2 - 2
DER
65%
18%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
DER
3 - 1
BPO
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
DER
2 - 2
SUN
64%
19%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1948 |
BPO
1 - 1
DER
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |