Liverpool vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
SHW
3 - 2
LIV
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 2
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
ARS
4 - 4
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
DER
3 - 4
LEE
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
MUD
0 - 1
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
DER
5 - 2
LEI
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
ASV
2 - 3
DER
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
DER
4 - 0
BUR
59%
20%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |