Liverpool vs Derby County analysis

Liverpool Derby County
83 ELO 74
9.3% Tilt -5.6%
General ELO ranking 1111º
Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
85.4%
Liverpool
9.6%
Draw
5%
Derby County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
Liverpool
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5%
Win probability
Derby County
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liverpool
+4%
-12%
Derby County

ELO progression

Liverpool
Derby County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 1907
LIV
Liverpool
0 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
68%
18%
14%
84 81 3 0
30 Mar. 1907
ASV
Aston Villa
4 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
68%
18%
15%
84 84 0 0
29 Mar. 1907
EVE
Everton
0 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
66%
19%
15%
84 86 2 0
23 Mar. 1907
LIV
Liverpool
4 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
53%
23%
24%
83 87 4 +1
16 Mar. 1907
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
46%
25%
29%
84 80 4 -1

Matches

Derby County
Derby County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 1907
DER
Derby County
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
36%
25%
39%
74 83 9 0
30 Mar. 1907
DER
Derby County
1 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
43%
25%
32%
73 81 8 +1
29 Mar. 1907
NOT
Notts County
4 - 0
Derby County
DER
64%
20%
17%
74 73 1 -1
23 Mar. 1907
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Derby County
DER
89%
8%
4%
75 84 9 -1
16 Mar. 1907
DER
Derby County
1 - 1
Sunderland
SUN
43%
24%
33%
75 81 6 0