Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Liverpool vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
LEE
0 - 2
LIV
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
LIV
4 - 0
COV
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1982 |
SWA
2 - 0
LIV
28%
27%
45%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIV
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1982 |
LIV
2 - 2
IPS
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
CSK
5 - 0
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
CSK
1 - 2
LSO
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
CVA
2 - 1
CSK
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
CSK
5 - 1
FKH
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
AKA
0 - 3
CSK
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |