Champions League 1/16
Global 7-0
Liverpool vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.3%
1.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
DER
2 - 3
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
LIV
3 - 1
COV
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
BIR
2 - 1
LIV
39%
29%
32%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
WBA
0 - 1
LIV
28%
32%
41%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOR
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
DBU
11 - 0
CRU
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
CRU
0 - 1
DBU
39%
23%
38%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
NOR
4 - 1
CRU
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
CRU
2 - 2
NOR
39%
23%
37%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1967 |
CRU
2 - 4
VCF
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |