Liverpool vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LIV
0 - 0
STO
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
38%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
39%
26%
35%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 0
LIV
27%
28%
45%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
SDL
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CRE
3 - 4
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
CRE
2 - 0
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LEE
5 - 2
CRE
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
CRE
3 - 0
MAC
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
CRE
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |