Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
LIV
4 - 1
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
40%
23%
36%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
LIV
3 - 1
LYO
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAP
3 - 0
LIV
33%
24%
42%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SCP
2 - 2
LIV
17%
23%
60%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MUD
4 - 0
CHL
35%
26%
40%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
CHL
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
RBS
3 - 5
CHL
48%
24%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
REA
3 - 4
CHL
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
KAW
1 - 0
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |