Champions League Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FUL
0 - 2
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
3 - 1
BBU
68%
19%
13%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
4 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHL
26%
28%
47%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 1
WIG
79%
15%
6%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 0
FEN
75%
17%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHL
17%
27%
56%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
FEN
2 - 1
CHL
25%
28%
48%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | -1 |