Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 2
KOL
57%
20%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
LIV
3 - 2
FUL
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 0
KOL
57%
20%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
SHE
3 - 0
LIV
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
WHU
2 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 0
SHE
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 2
LEI
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
MUD
4 - 0
CHL
62%
20%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 1
TOT
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
STO
0 - 2
CHL
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |