Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1965 |
CHL
4 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1965 |
TOT
3 - 0
LIV
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 3
WBA
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
CHL
2 - 2
WBA
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1965 |
CHL
4 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
WHU
3 - 2
CHL
49%
22%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1965 |
LEI
0 - 0
CHL
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 1
BIR
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |