Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
4 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
SHE
0 - 1
CHL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |