Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
LIV
5 - 1
ARS
75%
14%
12%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1909 |
SHE
4 - 2
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 1
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
4 - 2
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |