Liverpool vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
NOR
2 - 1
LIV
36%
29%
35%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
LIV
1 - 1
WBA
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1977 |
LIV
2 - 0
SUN
80%
14%
7%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1976 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
LIV
4 - 0
STO
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
CUM
0 - 6
SOU
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1977 |
CUM
0 - 2
NOT
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1976 |
CUM
1 - 1
BBU
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
BPO
0 - 0
CUM
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
CUM
4 - 3
CAR
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |