Liverpool vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 1
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
BUR
2 - 0
LIV
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
LIV
3 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 2
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
SUN
2 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 4
SUN
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
0 - 2
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |