Liverpool vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 0
OLD
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 1
NOT
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 1
LIV
43%
24%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 3
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
BCF
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |