Liverpool vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 2
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
EVE
5 - 0
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 2
BCF
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 0
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
MID
0 - 1
BCF
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
2 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 1
PNE
57%
22%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |