EFL Cup 1/32
Global 6-1
Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
LIV
0 - 0
WHU
69%
21%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
SOU
0 - 2
LIV
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
41%
28%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
CRY
1 - 6
LIV
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
BUR
0 - 1
WOL
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1994 |
MIL
2 - 3
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
LUT
0 - 1
BUR
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
BUR
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
BUR
1 - 1
BRI
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |